where the numbers come from

Every data point in every UK scorecard must trace to one of these sources. No estimates without provenance. No figures from secondary media reporting.

institutionwhat it coverslicence
ONSNational accounts, GDP, population, labour marketOGL v3
HMRCTax receipts, reliefs, compliance gap estimatesOGL v3
OBRFiscal forecasts, economic outlook, welfare costingOGL v3
DfESchool funding, attainment, teacher workforceOGL v3
DWPBenefit caseloads, fraud and error estimatesOGL v3
OfgemEnergy levies, bill components, wholesale pricesOGL v3
DESNZEnergy policy costs, subsidy registerOGL v3
Cabinet OfficeCivil service headcount, pay data, workforce statisticsOGL v3
NAOValue for money studies, major project reviewsOGL v3
OECDInternational spending comparisons, SOCX welfare dataCC BY 4.0

first wave

Priority areas chosen by: fiscal scale, data availability, benchmarkability, and probability that identified savings are actionable. Scorecards are not published until data pipelines are live and methodology peer-reviewed.

pipeline: building

Energy levies on household bills

pending

The UK embeds policy costs (renewables obligation, FiT, capacity market, warm home discount) directly into energy bills rather than general taxation. This scorecard will measure the fiscal scale, distributional incidence across income deciles, and compare the approach against Germany, France, and Denmark.

OfgemDESNZOBRIFS
pipeline: building

VAT on independent schools

pending

HM Treasury projected revenue from removing the VAT exemption on private school fees. This scorecard will model the fiscal displacement: how many pupils move to state sector, cost to DfE per pupil, teacher supply impact, and OBR's own sensitivity ranges.

HMRCDfEOBRONS
pipeline: queued

Civil service headcount growth

pending

Civil service headcount and real-terms pay cost, 2000–present, against quantified service delivery metrics where available. Productivity per civil servant vs OECD peers. Departmental breakdown. Consultancy substitution effects.

Cabinet OfficeONSOECDNAO

help build the UK chapter

data pipelines

Python scripts that fetch, clean, and version ONS/HMRC/OBR datasets to CSV/Parquet. See uk/pipelines/.

view on github →

scorecard review

Got better data or a methodological challenge? Open a PR with the source and we will update the scorecard.

contribution guide →

new scorecard proposals

Open a GitHub issue with the policy, a primary data source, and a proposed counterfactual. We will review it.

open an issue →